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Since 2009, equities and other financial assets have climbed a wall of worry. Initially, it was recovery from the threat of a complete financial collapse, before the Fed saved the system once again. Systemic collapse…

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Weekly DOE Oil Charts - July 28, 2017

Conclusion: Neutral stats but impressive nevertheless given that we expected some reversal from the last 3 weeks extremely bullish reports. WE continue to expect larger draws going forward Total petroleum stocks built…

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Market Report: Bear squeeze continues

Gold and silver both edged up over the week, reflecting a firm undertone. Gold was up $4.50 from last Friday’s close at $1259 in early European trade this morning, and silver was up four cents at $16.56. On the year so…

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Why economists cannot forecast recessions

The purpose of this article is to draw the widest attention to the chronic inability of the economic establishment to forecast recessions. Next time you hear an economist make a prediction on mainstream media, your…

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Weekly DOE Oil Charts - July 21, 2017

Conclusion: Very bullish stats. We are three weeks into July and already drew 23.5mb, 36mb more than normal. We continue to expect larger draws in the remainder of 2H17 Total petroleum stocks drew 9.5mb,13.3mb more than…

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How can the Fed possibly unwind QE?

There are currently two important items on the Fed’s wish list. The first is to restore interest rates to more normal levels, and the second is to unwind the Fed’s balance sheet, which has expanded since the great…

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Weekly DOE Oil Charts - July 14, 2017

Conclusion: Very bullish stats. Two weeks of solid draws in July paint a very bullish picture despite the apparent strong supply growth data. We continue to expect large global draws in 2H17 which will lead to stronger…

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Market Report: Unchanged on the week

Gold and silver prices steadied this week, with gold up only $3 at $1218 in early European trade this morning (Friday), and silver unchanged at $15.68. As our headline chart shows, silver is now marginally lower on the…

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