A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

The importance of randomness

The greatest strength of a truly free market economy, where money is sound and does not corrupt prices, is the absence of cyclical action. With sound money, and consumers deciding for themselves their wants and…

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Market Report: A pause in the decline

Gold and silver found temporary bottoms this week, with gold little changed from last Friday’s close of $1229.4 at $1228 in early European trade this morning (Friday). Silver fared slightly better, rising from $16.34 to…

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Update on Brexit

This article looks at the background to Brexit negotiations and concludes that Britain is negotiating from a position of strength, while the EU is increasingly in a position of financial difficulty. Not only will the…

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Weekly DOE Oil Charts - May 5, 2017

Our quick take on the WEEKLY SUPPLY ESTIMATES published by the US Department of Energy (DOE) including detailed tables and charts. This week’s highlights: Conclusion: We have seen very bullish stats for a number of…

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Market Report: China unwinds WMPs

Gold and silver declined sharply this week against a background of carnage in commodity markets, driven by Chinese liquidation of base metals. Gold fell from $1268 at last Friday’s close to trade at $1233 in early…

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Business cycles are credit cycles

This article gets to the heart of why central banks’ monetary policy will never succeed. The fundamental error is to regard economic cycles as originating in the private sector, when they are the consequence of…

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