A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

The monetary lessons from Germany

Germany suffered two currency collapses in the last century, in 1920-23 and1945-48. The architect of the recovery from the former, Hjalmar Schacht, chose to cooperate with the Nazi successors to the Weimar Republic, and…

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Market Report: Preparing to break out?

Gold and silver recovered some lost ground this week, with gold up $22 from last Friday’s close to trade at $1506 in early morning trade in Europe. Over the same time period, silver rose 47 cents to trade at $18.04.…

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Precious metals round-up

Growing evidence of an economic downturn despite unprecedented monetary inflation since Lehman means a new credit and systemic crisis is becoming increasingly certain. In an attempt to prevent a new crisis developing,…

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Market Report: Dollar slips

Gold and silver continued their consolidation in moderate turnover on Comex. By morning trading in Europe today (Friday) gold had lost $4 from the previous Friday’s close to trade at $1490, while silver was down 10…

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Money and the theory of exchange

Evidence mounts that the global credit cycle has turned towards its perennial crisis stage. This time, the gathering forces appear to be on a scale greater than any in living memory and therefore the inflation of all…

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Market Report: Gold in doldrums at $1500

Gold and silver traded in a narrow range this week, with gold still stuck around the $1500 mark. Turnover in silver dropped off as volatility declined. By early morning trading European time today, gold had declined $5…

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Monetary failure is becoming inevitable

This article posits that there is an unpleasant conjunction of events beginning to undermine government finances in advanced nations. They combine the arrival of a long-term trend of rising welfare commitments with an…

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Market Report: Rollercoaster week for PMs

Gold and silver sold off this week, with gold trading down to $1459 intraday on Tuesday, and silver sold down to $16.89. Dollar strength based on the suspicion that the recent repo turmoil was to do with dollar…

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An Inflationary Depression

Financial markets are ignoring bearish developments in international trade, which coincide with the end of a long expansionary phase for credit. Both empirical evidence from the one occasion these conditions existed in…

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