A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

Biden's last throw of geopolitical dice

In a continuing cold war, America is already on the back foot. We have yet to see how long it will be before the Biden administration realises its few victories will be unaffordably Pyrrhic, and by merely not responding…

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The equity-gold price conundrum – Part II

Equity markets have relentlessly rallied over the past 12 months, pushing valuations to extreme levels based on traditional metrics. In this report, we analyze the two common arguments by equity bulls why this time is…

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Market Report: Firm Feel to Gold and Silver

Gold and silver were quietly firm this week, with gold trading at $1738 in European morning trade, up $10 from last Friday’s close, and silver at $26.02, up 12 cents on the same time scale. Unspectacular perhaps, but…

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The ECB’s Financial Suttee

The European Commission is failing. Its response to Brexit and the pandemic, where it is now threatening emergency powers in order to secure vaccines is a latest throw of the political dice. Even before this development…

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Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March

President Biden has now had his $1.9 trillion stimulus package passed into law, and it will not be the last in the current fiscal year. Covid is not over and is sure to resurge with new variants next winter. But even…

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The equity-gold price conundrum – Part I

The relentless rally in equity markets has pushed valuations to extreme levels based on traditional metrics. In this report, we analyze the two common arguments made by equity bulls on why this time is different and…

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Market Report: Falling open interest

Gold and silver prices continued to decline this week, with gold falling $37 to $1696, and silver down $1.32 to $25.27 in European morning trade today. A notable feature is the continuing decline in Comex open interest…

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Money and statistical delusions

I can prove anything with statistics, except the truth -- Lord Canning, c. 1819 Does Canning’s aphorism still hold true, given that data collection and statistical analysis have progressed beyond all recognition in the…

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Market Report: Month-end sell-off

After a strong performance on Monday, gold and silver prices traded lower as the March contracts on Comex expired. By this morning’s trading in the European time zone gold had lost a net $17 from last Friday’s close at…

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