A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

The coming oil shortage – Part I

The oil price crash on the back of the COVID-19 lockdowns has accelerated the coming supply crunch. Both national and international oil companies have slashed CAPEX and maintenance spending, which will push up decline…

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Market Report: Gold and silver break-out

Gold and silver enjoyed an exceptional day yesterday, breaking out of their recent trading ranges on solid buying, reflected in significant increases in Comex open interest for both metals. Preliminary figures indicated…

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Why the future money is gold and silver

A reminder why they always will be sound money and why bitcoin cannot fill that role With bitcoin’s price still rising and expected to rise even more, there has been a growing belief in cryptocurrency circles that it…

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Market Report: Physical shortages in silver

Gold and silver rallied this week, with gold gaining $11 from last Friday’s close to trade at $1746 in European trade this morning, and silver was up 26 cents at $25.20. These modest gains consolidated last week’s…

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The global debt problem

It has been recently estimated that global debts stand at $284 trillion equivalent, representing 355% of global GDP. Estimates such as these must be treated with caution, and they probably underestimate financial sector…

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Say’s law and the destruction of savings

This article explains the fundamental mistake behind Keynes’s General Theory, the vade mecum for all macro and mathematical economists today. It is no exaggeration to say that his casual rejection of Jean-Baptiste Say’s…

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Market Report: Option Expiration

Gold and silver drifted lower on the week, with gold down $20 from last Friday’s close at $1725 in London morning trade, and silver down $1.20 at $25 . 03 on the same timescale. Yesterday saw the expiration of April…

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Biden's last throw of geopolitical dice

In a continuing cold war, America is already on the back foot. We have yet to see how long it will be before the Biden administration realises its few victories will be unaffordably Pyrrhic, and by merely not responding…

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The equity-gold price conundrum – Part II

Equity markets have relentlessly rallied over the past 12 months, pushing valuations to extreme levels based on traditional metrics. In this report, we analyze the two common arguments by equity bulls why this time is…

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