A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

The Credit Cycle Is On The Turn

We are on the verge of moving into an era of high interest rates, so markets will behave differently from any time since the early-1980s. There are enough similarities with the post-Bretton Woods era of the 1970s to…

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Hong Kong and the road to recovery

We are following the road to perdition There is increasing awareness that another financial crisis is in the offing, and, of course, everyone has an opinion as to what will trigger it and what form it will take. But…

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The dollar is central to the next crisis

Introduction and summary It is now possible to pencil in how the next credit crisis is likely to develop. At its centre is an overvalued dollar over-owned by foreigners, puffed up on speculative flows driven by interest…

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