A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

Trade will be the issue under Trump

2024 is a year of elections, the most important being that of America. If Trump is elected in 2025, it will be back to trade protectionism and Make America Great Again. This article explains the likely consequences by…

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Gold eases in quiet trading

Gold and silver prices eased this week over the New Year break during which markets were closed. Turnover was subdued. In European morning trade, gold was $2038, down $24 from last Friday, and silver $22.95, down a…

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The geopolitical year ahead

2024 will see a quickening pace for geopolitical developments, with the influence of the US waning while that of China and Russia waxes. As a lost cause, the war in Ukraine will be abandoned by America and NATO in the…

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The dog that didn’t bark…

The risk at the year-end is that the establishment manages gold prices lower to favour their short positions. There is no evidence yet of this occurring for gold, though it appears to be true for silver. In a Sherlock…

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Gold in 2024

To market observers, gold appears ready to break into new high ground measured in all the major currencies. In fact, it is the currencies’ collapse in their values, rather than gold rising. Appreciating this distinction…

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Quiet pre-Christmas trading

With Comex volumes dwindling to a trickle, traders in gold and silver markets are shutting down ahead of the Christmas break. In quiet markets this week, gold and silver drifted higher in tight liquidity. In European…

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Free banking: myth and reality

Surely, it is now apparent that central banks are guilty of mismanaging the economy. By slashing interest rates to zero and in some cases to an unnatural minus figure, then flooding financial systems with…

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The Fed signals its pivot

In his press conference following the FOMC meeting at which the Fed Funds Rate was left unchanged, Chairman Powell spoke about the slowing of economic activity due to restrictive territory for interest rates. This…

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Underestimating debt traps

The sharp decline in US Treasury bond yields anticipates a pivot in Fed policy, which appeared to be justified this week by Chairman Powell’s dovish tone. But in truth, the Fed is not in control of events. Given that it…

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Further consolidation required?

In the Far East on Monday, gold spiked up to $2146 and silver to $$25.90, when it was 18.30 EST on Sunday. It was short-lived, and a lack of follow through and profit taking rapidly took gold and silver back to below…

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