A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

Gold in 2024

To market observers, gold appears ready to break into new high ground measured in all the major currencies. In fact, it is the currencies’ collapse in their values, rather than gold rising. Appreciating this distinction…

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Quiet pre-Christmas trading

With Comex volumes dwindling to a trickle, traders in gold and silver markets are shutting down ahead of the Christmas break. In quiet markets this week, gold and silver drifted higher in tight liquidity. In European…

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Free banking: myth and reality

Surely, it is now apparent that central banks are guilty of mismanaging the economy. By slashing interest rates to zero and in some cases to an unnatural minus figure, then flooding financial systems with…

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The Fed signals its pivot

In his press conference following the FOMC meeting at which the Fed Funds Rate was left unchanged, Chairman Powell spoke about the slowing of economic activity due to restrictive territory for interest rates. This…

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Underestimating debt traps

The sharp decline in US Treasury bond yields anticipates a pivot in Fed policy, which appeared to be justified this week by Chairman Powell’s dovish tone. But in truth, the Fed is not in control of events. Given that it…

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Further consolidation required?

In the Far East on Monday, gold spiked up to $2146 and silver to $$25.90, when it was 18.30 EST on Sunday. It was short-lived, and a lack of follow through and profit taking rapidly took gold and silver back to below…

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Gold and flying money

Flying money was the Chinese term for paper credits between merchants in the Tang dynasty, adopted by Emperor Hien-Tsung as the first example of a government paper currency. Today, economists confuse flying money with…

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US Trade deficit 2024

No one is talking about the US trade deficit in the current fiscal year, but it is likely to be another record, bringing with it new rounds of trade sanctions and protectionism. In this article, I explain why the twin…

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Gold up, $ down

Gold and silver continued to rise this week, with gold bursting through the $2000 level, and silver $25. In European trade this morning, gold was $2042, up $42 from last Friday’s close, and silver was $25.20, up 93…

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Dollar’s TWI and bond yields decline

Ahead of a possible challenge on the $2000 level, gold consolidated recent rises this week, and silver held up well. This morning in European trade, gold was $1995, up $15 from last Friday’s close, and silver was…

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