A wider perspective.

Ideas and analysis on money, markets and the world around us.

Gold in time of war

Currencies are debased during and after wars, because government spending goes through the roof not just due to defence spending but also because of the economic consequences. Financial markets, particularly in North…

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Summer doldrums

Over the last six months, gold and silver are barely changed. Investors are losing patience. It’s time to stand back and examine the big picture and ignore short-term sentiment. As our introductory chart shows, gold and…

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Open interest collapses

As China buys up the bullion, the relevance of paper markets on Comex (and London) is shrinking. Liquidity and relevance of paper gold and silver relative to bullion are diminishing. This market report analyses why open…

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US$ — Slowly then rapidly

Foreigners increasingly distrust the dollar, which is why central banks, the ultimate insiders are selling them for gold. The decline in the $ has not been noticed by Americans — yet. The chart above prices the dollar,…

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Inflation undermines all asset values

The febrile condition of all asset markets headed by rising G7 bond yields is leading to uncertainty for gold and silver prices. One last sell-off is a golden opportunity for stackers. For the first half of this week,…

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Is the silver bull back?

Notably in silver, bear squeeze conditions were evident this week. The likelihood of the bull market returning is now strengthened, particularly given gold’s improving prospects. The classic conditions for a bear…

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Comex silver grinds to a halt

With open interest down to multidecade lows, trading in silver is the risk no one is prepared to take. Market-makers make wide prices and speculators are not prepared to play. Open interest in both gold and silver Comex…

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PMs in the eye of the storm

An uneasy silence has descended on gold and silver, but the forces that will drive them higher are mounting. Both metals are being rapidly drained from paper markets. The monthly cycle of Comex contract expiry has come…

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Surreal markets

In short supply already, anyone can see that demand for gold and silver will increase substantially. Yet markets are worryingly complacent, and it’s not just in precious metals. Surreal hardly describes it. Equities are…

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Have gold and silver bottomed?

The controversy is now about escalating risk and how to hedge it. Let’s make something clear before addressing this question: regulators train and legislate investment managers into believing that gold is not the way to…

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