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Regular readers will know I am in the inflation, possibly hyperinflation camp; but there are those that think the future is more likely to be deflationary. In the main this is the view of neoclassical economists, Keynesians and monetarists, who generally foresee a 1930s-style slump unless the economy is stimulated out of it. Rather than ...
There is a new campaign to end austerity. First, the IMF lets it be known it has second thoughts about it; then we are told the threshold of 90% government debt to GDP which must not be crossed, set by Professors Reinhart & Rogoff, is based on an excel spread-sheet error. Lastly, Bill Gross of PIMCO, the largest bond fund in the ...
The hyperinflation of a currency is typically described as an event, as if one day everything is normal and then the next day hyperinflation is manifest throughout the economy. This description explains, for example, how the hyperinflations that destroyed the currencies in Germany in the 1920s, Serbia in the 1990s and Zimbabwe more ...
The following is a transcript of the "Adam Smith Lecture" I gave at a private gathering in London on 19 February. For a long time governments have been redistributing peoples’ income and wealth in the name of fairness. They provide for the unemployed, the sick, and the elderly. The state provides. You can depend on the ...
The monthly figures for the US dollar components of Austrian, or True Money Supply, for February are now in. TMS plus excess reserves amount to the quantity of money that can be drawn down without notice, including time deposits that in practice can be instantly drawn down without notice, only foregoing interest. This is shown in the ...
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has only been in power for a few months. But in that time he is made it clear that his campaign platform of unprecedented monetary stimulus was no empty promise. Despite a pledge by the G20 nations to avoid currency wars, Abe doesn't seem interested in playing ball with the rest of the gang. He continues ...
Yesterday, for the first time in March, the gold price broke through its short-term ceiling of $1,585 and approached the $1,600 mark, while silver moved back above $29. During a press conference concerning the Bundesbank’s annual report, the German central bank’s president Jens Weidmann stated that short term inflationary ...
Stocks markets have hit record (nominal) levels in the last few days, amid the on-going torrent of central bank currency injections into the banking system. Month-on-month changes in the US M3 money supply continue to show robust gains, with this money stock now at $15.1 trillion and some measures of year-on-year US house price gains ...
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