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government bonds

Bond bubble warning from BIS

Hope that American politicians may be able to successfully navigate their way through the fiscal cliff rapids, and suggestions that the Federal Reserve may announce an extension of its bond-buying programme are stimulating bids for growth assets. The Dollar Index has fallen just below 80.00, with the euro rising above $1.30. Despite the ...

2012-DEC-12 · The GoldMoney News Desk

The nitty-gritty of US GDP numbers

Contributors to this site have frequent cause to comment on the misleading nature of GDP as a means of measuring the economic growth and well being of a country. The last batch of GDP figures for the United States proves this point in spades. The data showed that the economy grew at a 2% annualised pace between July and September. While ...

2012-NOV-13 · Chris Marcus

There is no exit plan

There was an interesting note from Agora Financial a few weeks ago raising the following question. If Operation Twist and the previous QE programmes were successful, then why is there a need for more? And if they were not successful, then why are they are there going to be more of them? While the current status of major global ...

The myth of riskless debt

Much has been learned from the ongoing financial debacle that has been painfully rattling the world’s financial structure in recent years. Foremost among these valuable lessons is the realisation that all financial assets have risks. Even the bonds of many sovereign nations are being called into question, and rightly so. Though ...

Savings, investment, and the Keynesian preference – a follow-up

There is a general belief that government finances are somehow immune from the financial reality faced by everyone else – an illusion fostered by bond markets and supported by the public’s wishful thinking. Look no further than the plight of the eurozone for evidence of the reality. Not only that, but history tells us that ...

2012-APR-07 · Alasdair Macleod

Eurozone banks and contagion risk

Greece has now defaulted, and other eurozone governments as well as agencies such as the International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank and European Investment Bank have retrospectively inserted themselves as senior creditors, a precedent that should be of great concern and which has profound implications for private sector banks. ...

2012-MAR-17 · Alasdair Macleod

The destruction of savings by inflation

In the past, insurance companies and pension funds have been keen to advertise the benefit of compounding arithmetic for savings. Over the last 30 or 40 years the rate has been lifted by inflation, but to understand the cost inflation brings you have to consider the whole savings cycle: not just the accumulation stage, but also annuity ...

2012-FEB-18 · Alasdair Macleod

Euro survival uncertain as Italy and Spain yields surpass bailout territory

The gold price took a hit yesterday, falling close to $1,700 before once again rebounding to $1,732 per troy ounce. Despite a large increase in central bank demand and investment demand, both in Europe and in Asia, turbulence in precious metals does not come unexpectedly. MF Global’s bankruptcy has the potential to affect a large ...

2011-NOV-18 · The GoldMoney News Desk

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