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central banks

Bank balances and gold

There has been a growing shift in favour of assets relative to bank deposits. This was initially encouraged by zero interest rates, but more recently there is little doubt that Cyprus’s bail-in has accelerated the trend. This explains the bull markets in bonds and equities, which conveniently underwrites the entire banking system. ...

2013-MAY-19 · Alasdair Macleod

central banks, Cyprus, gold bullion

Is this the end of the gold bull market?

The dreary picture painted by recent headlines and the tiresome repetition that gold “has entered a bear market” seems to be taking its toll on gold investors, whose confidence levels appear to be hitting bottom. As usual gold has few friends in the mainstream investment world and media, and when the price rises we hear little ...

2013-MAY-15 · The GoldMoney News Desk

central banks, dollar, gold price

Economic 'recovery' built on sand

“STOCKS ROAR BACK” is this morning’s London City AM headline – reporting news that the Dow Jones “smashed through” the 15,000 mark yesterday to a record nominal high, with the FTSE 100 also marking a five-and-a-half year nominal high. The Dow is up 15% since the start of the year, with bulls encouraged ...

2013-MAY-08 · The GoldMoney News Desk

central banks, stock market, USA

The case against deflation

Regular readers will know I am in the inflation, possibly hyperinflation camp; but there are those that think the future is more likely to be deflationary. In the main this is the view of neoclassical economists, Keynesians and monetarists, who generally foresee a 1930s-style slump unless the economy is stimulated out of it. Rather than ...

2013-MAY-05 · Alasdair Macleod

central banks, deflation, inflation, quantitative easing

The coming run on central bank gold

A few months ago the German Bundesbank displayed concern about the security of their gold being stored at the New York Federal Reserve. They called for an audit of their holdings, and while that still has not taken place, the intermediate resolution was to have 10% of their gold repatriated over a period of seven years. There has been no ...

2013-MAY-04 · Chris Marcus

central banks, Cyprus, Germany, gold reserves

Goodbye to austerity

There is a new campaign to end austerity. First, the IMF lets it be known it has second thoughts about it; then we are told the threshold of 90% government debt to GDP which must not be crossed, set by Professors Reinhart & Rogoff, is based on an excel spread-sheet error. Lastly, Bill Gross of PIMCO, the largest bond fund in the ...

2013-APR-28 · Alasdair Macleod

austerity, central banks, debt crisis, inflation

Physical gold vs paper gold: waiting for the dam to break

Introduction In this article I will argue that the recent slide in the gold price has generated substantial demand for bullion that will likely bring forward a financial and systemic disaster for both central and bullion banks that has been brewing for a long time. To understand why, we must examine their role and motivations in precious ...

2013-APR-25 · Alasdair Macleod

Asia, central banks, ETF, gold price

Gold sell-off: avoid the bear trap

The gold price has corrected sharply over the last couple of trading days – breaking the strong support zone at $1,550-1,525/oz and heading straight for the next significant technical support point at $1,300. The immediate catalyst seems to have been the theory that Cyprus would be pressured to sell a large part of its official gold ...

2013-APR-16 · The GoldMoney News Desk

central banks, gold price, Jim Rogers, Marc Faber

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